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Report Overview

2023

Base Year

2017-2023

Historical Year

2024-2032

Forecast Year

Global Biosimulation Market Outlook

The global biosimulation market size was valued at USD 3.5 billion in 2023, driven by the technological innovations in the biosimulation software across the globe. The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 16.90% during the forecast period of 2024-2032, with the values likely to rise from USD 4.1 billion in 2024 to USD 14.1 billion by 2032.

Key Takeaways

  • Recent data predicts that cancer incidence is expected to rise, reaching 35 million new cases by 2050. Biosimulation stands as a promising strategy to accelerate oncology drug development to meet the growing clinical needs of cancer patients.
  • In March 2023, Certara, Inc., launched Simcyp Simulator Version 22, a physiologically based pharmacokinetics (PBPK) platform with updated features and novel capabilities for drug development processes.
  • Technological advancement and upgradation in biosimulation software including integration of machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) are projected to augment market demand in the forecast period.

Biosimulation, a relatively new tool in healthcare and pharmaceutical drug development, allows researchers to simulate complex biological systems. It helps to predict drug behavior, reduces costs and time as compared to conventional experiments, and optimizes treatment strategies. These factors are likely to augment biosimulation market growth in coming years.

The rising adoption of biosimulation software by key market players can be attributed to its ability to predict clinical outcomes before the occurrence of human clinical trials. This approach not only expedites drug development timelines but also minimizes risks associated with failed trials. Such factors fuel the rising market demand. Moreover, the rise in healthcare expenditure and technological advancements in the field are also expected to fuel the market share.

Global Biosimulation Market Trends and Developments

Advancements in computational power, growing focus on chronic diseases, increasing demand for personalized medicine, and expansion in biosimulation applications comprise some of the key trends and developments in the market.

Date  Company Event
December 2023 Certara, Inc . Certara acquired Applied Biomath, an innovative biotechnology company to industrialize quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) biosimulation methods. Utilizing the expertise of Applied Biomath, the company intends to expand biosimulation capabilities including predicting the optimal dosing regimen for novel therapies.
June 2023 Simulations Plus, Inc. Simulations Plus Inc. acquired Immunetrics Inc. (a  odelling and simulation company specializing in oncology, immunology, and autoimmune diseases) at a deal worth USD 15.5 million in cash along with USD 1.8 million hold-back, and USD 8 million depending on revenue performance. The acquisition will reinforce the existing quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) software and service capabilities at Simulations Plus, increasing the therapeutic areas covered via QSP models by 50%.
March 2023 Certara, Inc. The leading biosimulation company launched Simcyp Simulator Version 22, a physiologically based pharmacokinetics (PBPK) platform with updated features and novel capabilities for drug development processes. The company Simcyp Simulator has proven its utilization across 300 label claims for 90+ novel drugs, replacing the need for human clinical trials.
January 2023 Cellworks Cellworks announced the launch of two new business units, leveraging biosimulation for novel precision oncology drug testing to accelerate drug development timelines and reduce costs. Utilizing its biosimulation and computational model (CBM), the personalized therapy biosimulation company aims to predict patient response, streamline clinical trials, and aid in biomarker development, among others, potentially transforming the drug development process.
Key Trends Impact
Advancements in Computational Power Increased computational power and advancements in software capabilities are enabling more accurate biosimulation. This allows for biological simulation processes at a higher scale and speed, resulting in accelerated drug development timelines.
Growing Focus on Chronic Diseases With the rising prevalence of chronic diseases, biosimulation is being leveraged to develop treatments for these conditions. Simulations help in predicting the long-term outcomes of therapies for chronic diseases. The predictive models also help in improving the design of clinical trials, leading to better patient care. Consequently, elevating the biosimulation market share positively.
Increasing Demand for Personalized Medicine Biosimulation supports the development of personalized medicine by facilitating the simulation of drug responses based on individual genetic makeup. This market trend is expected to result in effective tailored treatment options, reducing the risk of adverse drug reactions.
Expansion in Biosimulation Applications Beyond drug development, biosimulation is finding application in domains such as disease modelling, toxicology, and risk assessment of pharmaceuticals, demonstrating its expanded market reach.

Factors Affecting Global Biosimulation Market Demand

As more and more pharmaceutical companies are recognising the significance of biosimulation software in expediting drug development processes, the market is witnessing major investments to integrate and improve simulation systems. The simulation models are increasingly employed to test drugs in a virtual environment before conducting expensive and time-consuming clinical trials, which is bolstering the biosimulation market value.

The market is also driven by the rising strategic partnerships between the leading market players, novel product launches, and the growing complexity of drug development fuelling the demand for biosimulation tools and services.

Global Biosimulation Market Segmentation

The market report offers a detailed analysis of the market based on the following segments:

Market Breakup Categories
Product and Services Software (Molecular Modeling and Simulation Software, PBPK Modeling and Simulation Software, Trial Design Software, Toxicity Prediction Software, Other Biosimulation Software), Services (In-House Services and Contract Services)
Delivery Model Subscription Model, Ownership Model
Application Drug Discovery (Pre-Clinical Testing and Clinical Trials), Drug Development (Target Identification and Validation, Lead Identification and Optimization), Others
End User Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology Companies, Contract Research Organization, Academic Research Institutes, Others
Region North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, Middle East, and Africa

By product and services, the market includes software such as molecular modeling and simulation software, PBPK modeling and simulation software, trial design software, toxicity prediction software, and other specialized biosimulation software. Additionally, services offered in the biosimulation market comprise in-house services and contract services, catering to various needs of pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies.

The market is further segmented by delivery model into subscription model and ownership model. This market segment comprises different approaches to accessing biosimulation tools and services.

Applications of biosimulation market share include drug discovery and drug development among others. Drug discovery is further divided into pre-clinical testing and clinical trials, while drug development comprises target identification and validation, lead identification and optimization, among others. Biosimulation holds predictive modeling capabilities which facilitates data-driven insights into complex biological phenomena.

End-users of biosimulation technologies and services include pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, contract research organizations, and academic research institutes, among others, involved in drug discovery and development.

Based on region, the market report covers North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and the Middle East and Africa. The market is witnessing growth driven by increasing demand for personalized medicine, advancements in technology, and rising healthcare expenditure. However, the level of market development and growth rates may vary from region to region.

Global Biosimulation Market: Competitive Landscape

The key market players are contributing to the biosimulation market growth through strategic mergers and acquisitions initiatives, novel product launches, and continuous R&D efforts aimed at technological advancement.

Company Year Founded Headquarters Products/Services
Certara Inc. 2008 Princeton, New Jersey, USA Specializes in biosimulation software and consulting services for drug development such as pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) modelling
Dassault Systemes 1981 Vélizy-Villacoublay, France Offers a broad range of software applications for simulation, 3D design, and digital manufacturing, including BIOVIA modelling and simulation software.
Simulation Plus 1996 Lancaster, California, USA Provides modelling and simulation software for pharmaceutical research and development, focusing on absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion, and toxicity modelling
Schrodinger Inc. 1990 New York, USA Provides software solutions and services for drug discovery, including a computational platform offering predictive modelling to assist molecular discovery

Other key players in the market include Advanced Chemistry Development Inc., Physiomics PLC, Genedata AG, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Immunetrics, BioSimulation Consulting Inc., Yokogawa Insillico Biotechnology GmbH, and Chemical Computing Group ULC, among others.

Global Biosimulation Market Analysis by Region

North America is the leading regional market, owing to the presence of key players and advanced healthcare system which is witnessing rapid digitization. The higher adoption rates of in-silico models in drug development and discovery processes is also driving market growth. Moreover, the rising prevalence of chronic diseases in the region is expected to fuel the biosimulation market size in the forecast period.

Asia Pacific is projected to experience exponential growth which can be attributed to the rising research and development activities in the region. Further, the increased impetus of the government to improve healthcare infrastructure and patient outcomes is likely to boost the market size.

Key Highlights of the Report

REPORT FEATURES DETAILS
Base Year 2023
Historical Period 2017-2023
Forecast Period 2024-2032
Scope of the Report

Historical and Forecast Trends, Industry Drivers and Constraints, Historical and Forecast Market Analysis by Segment:

  • Product and Services
  • Delivery Model
  • Application
  • End User
  • Region
Breakup by Product and Services
  • Software 
  • Services
Breakup by Delivery Model
  • Subscription Model 
  • Ownership Model
Breakup by Application
  • Drug Discovery 
  • Drug Development 
  • Others
Breakup by End User
  • Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology Companies
  • Contract Research Organization
  • Academic Research Institutes 
  • Others
Breakup by Region
  • North America
  • Europe
  • Asia Pacific
  • Latin America
  • Middle East and Africa
Market Dynamics
  • Market Drivers and Constraints
  • SWOT Analysis
  • Porter’s Five Forces Model 
  • Key Demand Indicators
  • Key Price Indicators
  • Industry Events, Initiatives, and Trends 
  • Value Chain Analysis
Supplier Landscape
  • Market Structure
  • Company Profiles
    • Financial Analysis
    • Product Portfolio
    • Demographic Reach and Achievements
    • Mergers and Acquisitions
    • Certifications
Companies Covered
  • Certara Inc.
  • Dassault Systemes
  • Simulation Plus
  • Schrodinger Inc. 
  • Advanced Chemistry Development Inc.
  • Physiomics PLC 
  • Genedata AG
  • Thermo Fisher Scientific 
  • Immunetrics 
  • BioSimulation Consulting Inc. 
  • Yokogawa Insillico Biotechnology GmbH 
  • Chemical Computing Group ULC

*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*

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Key Questions Answered in the Report

The market attained a value of about USD 3.5 billion in 2023 driven by the technological innovations in biosimulation software across the globe.

The market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 16.9% during the forecast period of 2024-2032, likely to reach a market value of USD 14.1 billion by 2032.

Growing preference for personalized medicine along with increasing investments in research and development sector are fuelling the market demand.

One of the significant trends in the market is the increased acquisition and merger initiatives by the key market players. In December 2023, Certara acquired Applied Biomath, an innovative biotechnology company, to industrialize quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) biosimulation methods.

Based on the products and services, the market is segmented into software comprising molecular modeling and simulation software, PBPK modeling and simulation software, trial design software, toxicity prediction software, and other biosimulation software. Services include in-house services and contract services.

Based on the delivery model, the market includes a subscription model and an ownership model.

Major end users of the market include pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, contract research organizations, academic research institutes, and others.

Applications of the market include drug discovery and drug development. Drug discovery includes pre-clinical testing and clinical trials, and drug development encompasses target identification, validation, lead identification, and optimization, among others.

The major regions of the market include North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, Middle East, and Africa. 

Key players involved in the market are Certara Inc., Dassault Systemes, Simulation Plus, Schrodinger Inc., Advanced Chemistry Development Inc., Physiomics PLC, Genedata AG, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Immunetrics, BioSimulation Consulting Inc., Yokogawa Insillico Biotechnology GmbH, and Chemical Computing Group ULC.

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