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Report Overview

The Australia commercial real estate market size reached USD 36.56 Billion in 2025. The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.90% between 2026 and 2035, reaching almost USD 78.20 Billion by 2035.

2025

Base Year

2019-2025

Historical Period

2026-2035

Forecast Period

  • As reported by Commercial Real Estate, the value of investment-grade industrial property in Australia is projected to surpass that of office property for the first time by 2026. This shift is attributed to the rising values of logistics real estate, driven by the expansion of e-commerce and the construction of larger facilities to accommodate this growth.

  • According to the 2023 Institutional Real Estate Allocations Monitor, global institutional investors are expected to maintain target allocations to real estate at 10.8% in 2024.

  • As per industry reports, Asia Pacific-based investors, with the lowest real estate allocation among major regions, anticipate increasing their target allocation to 10.0%, while EMEA-based investors, with the highest allocation, forecast a slight reduction to 11.3%.

Compound Annual Growth Rate

7.9%

Value in USD Billion

2026-2035


*this image is indicative*

In 2020, the Australia commercial real estate market underwent significant change due to the COVID-19 pandemic, with flexible work arrangements and increased e-commerce altering market dynamics. Despite disruptions, opportunities emerged for investors, landlords, and occupiers. In 2022, commercial real estate entered a new era in Australia, with low-interest rates, government stimulus, and a rebounding population driving market optimism. Investors benefitted from favourable conditions, including cheap debt and structural shifts, while urbanisation and population growth remained key market drivers.

The sector witnessed notable trends such as improved accessibility, shared office spaces, and digital connectivity. However, challenges loomed, particularly with climate concerns prompting the need for innovation to sustain growth. Even before the pandemic, a decline in commercial building activity was anticipated, yet prime office spaces in Melbourne and Sydney maintained high demand and limited vacancy rates.

The rise of flexible workspaces gained traction, offering companies temporary leasing options amid uncertain market conditions. Despite fluctuations, office real estate investment remained steady, partly due to the pandemic’s impact. Meanwhile, industrial and logistics sales surged, led by ESR’s record-breaking acquisition of the Milestone logistics portfolio.

Retail investment activity rebounded despite ongoing challenges faced by malls, driven by a resurgence in retail transactions. Foreign investment in the commercial real estate market in Australia varied, with the USA and Germany showing confidence in the market, while others reduced their commitments.

Regional transaction activities varied, with New South Wales dominating commercial real estate transactions, while Western Australia witnessed a smaller share. A rebound in overseas migration and tourism supported Australia's services sector, prompting a GDP growth forecast upgrade by the IMF.

Institutional investors anticipate steady real estate allocations globally, with Asia Pacific-based investors expected to increase their target allocation. Despite challenges, the Australian property market remains resilient, poised for further growth amidst evolving market dynamics and investor confidence.

Market Segmentation

Australia Commercial Real Estate Market Report and Forecast 2026-2035 offers a detailed analysis of the market based on the following segments:

Market Breakup by Type

  • Industrial and Logistics
  • Offices
  • Multi-family
  • Hospitality
  • Retail

Market Breakup by Region

  • New South Wales
  • Victoria
  • Queensland
  • Western Australia
  • Australian Capital Territory
  • Others

Competitive Landscape

Key players in the commercial real estate in Australia develop and provide properties and services to support the end-users.

  • Meriton Group
  • Frasers Property Australia Pty Limited
  • Stockland Corporation Limited
  • Mirvac Limited
  • ABN Group
  • Knight Frank Australia Pty Ltd.
  • Colliers International
  • Gorman Allard Shelton Pty Ltd.
  • Others

*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*

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Key Questions Answered in the Report

The market is estimated to be valued at USD 36.56 Billion in 2025.

The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.90% between 2026 and 2035.

The commercial real estate market is expected to reach USD 78.20 Billion in 2035.

The market is categorised according to its type, which includes industrial and logistics, offices, multi-family, hospitality, and retail.

The key market players are Meriton Group, Frasers Property Australia Pty Limited, Stockland Corporation Limited, Mirvac Limited, ABN Group, Knight Frank Australia Pty Ltd., Colliers International, Gorman Allard Shelton Pty Ltd., and others.

The market is driven by factors that include rise of flexible workspaces, increasing FDI in the market, rapid transformation in the IT and real estate sector, among others.

Commercial property has historically delivered robust returns through a mix of capital appreciation and steady income. Notably, commercial real estate offers a stable income stream, with returns often outperforming those of stocks and displaying lower volatility. This stability underscores the attractiveness of commercial property as an investment option.

In 2025, the top-performing suburbs for both houses and units were exclusively located in Western Australia, South Australia, and Queensland, highlighting the ongoing resilience and vitality of property markets in these states.

Residential vehicle parks and storage facilities present lucrative investment opportunities, delivering high returns without the extensive infrastructure and upkeep demands associated with larger apartment complexes. Additionally, certain segments of the retail and industrial real estate sectors hold the potential for substantial returns.

Report Summary

Explore our key highlights of the report and gain a concise overview of key findings, trends, and actionable insights that will empower your strategic decisions.

Key Highlights of the Report

Please note that the figures mentioned in the description serve as estimates and may vary from the actual figures presented in the final report.

REPORT FEATURES DETAILS
Base Year 2025
Historical Period 2019-2025
Forecast Period 2026-2035
Scope of the Report

Historical and Forecast Trends, Industry Drivers and Constraints, Historical and Forecast Market Analysis by Segment:

  • Type
  • Region
Breakup by Type
  • Industrial and Logistics
  • Offices
  • Multi-family
  • Hospitality
  • Retail
Breakup by Region
  • New South Wales
  • Victoria
  • Queensland
  • Australian Capital Territory
  • Western Australia
  • Others
Market Dynamics
  • SWOT Analysis
  • Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • Key Indicators for Demand
  • Key Indicators for Price
Competitive Landscape
  • Market Structure
  • Company Profiles
    • Company Overview
    • Product Portfolio
    • Demographic Reach and Achievements
    • Certifications
Companies Covered
  • Meriton Group
  • Frasers Property Australia Pty Limited
  • Stockland Corporation Limited
  • Mirvac Limited
  • ABN Group
  • Knight Frank Australia Pty Ltd.
  • Colliers International
  • Gorman Allard Shelton Pty Ltd.
  • Others

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